Round 16 of the 2019 AFL Premiership Season resumes to normal programming with a five-game slate on Saturday and a three-game slate on Sunday.
There’s plenty of matches on this weekend with the potential to be absolute thrillers. How about the Adelaide AFL fixture between the sixth-placed Crows and the ninth-placed Power? Don’t forget the Saturday night Derby between the third-placed Eagles and the eighth-placed Dockers. Then of course there’s the fourth and fifth-placed Giants and Lions going at it on Sunday. Plenty to be excited about in Round 16!
As always, PlayON have some great tournaments on offer for the weekend and we have a full fantasy breakdown of players to target and ones to avoid in the Saturday and Sunday slate below.
Guns for hire
Saturday – Jack Macrae $15.8m
What a tear this man has been on over the past three games! Macrae has posted scores of 140, 180 and 135 in his past three games for an average of 152. He’s now scored 120+ in five matches this season and has scored 90+ in all but two games. We saw last season from Macrae that when he gets hot, he stays hot for multiple games and we don’t see him slowing down against Geelong.
While the Cats have been fairly stingy in the amount of fantasy points they’ve conceded this season, one area where they slip up from time to time is in the midfield. In perfect conditions at Marvel Stadium, expect Macrae to give you another 120+.
Sunday – Josh Kelly $17.5m
Probably the most consistent player and fantasy scorer in the competition is Josh Kelly from GWS. He’s become an absolute superstar of the game and virtually untaggable, such is his tremendous aerobic endurance.
Kelly has played 11 matches this season and has scored 100+ fantasy points in every single one of them. He’s averaging 122 over those 11 games and 134 over his past three, as well as 120+ in each of his last six AFL fixtures. Lock him in.
Duds to avoid
Saturday – Aaron Sandilands $10.9m
Wait, didn’t he retire? That was the majority of the talk when Fremantle’s team was announced on Thursday night and big Sandi was named as ruck. It seems he’s finally gotten over those nagging injuries that have kept him out for so, so long.
While it’s great that the big man is back in action, he’s certainly a player to avoid in this slate. Don’t be fooled by what looks like a ‘discount price’, Sandi comes up against one of the toughest match-ups in the league against the Eagles rucks who will be spearheaded by Nic Naitanui. Just can’t imagine Sandilands picking up too many points around the ground at his tender age of 36.
Sunday – Reilly O’Brien £12.8m
Another player you might get sucked into picking due to his recent form is Crows ruckman Reilly O’Brien. He’s done an admirable job in the absence of Sam Jacobs and looks to be their new first-choice ruckman as a result. His last two weeks have been the most impressive with scores of 146 and 128, which is well above his season average of 94.
So why not pick him if he’s been in such great form? Well because he’s yet to face an actual ruckman during his hot streak. Both the Tigers and Cats ruck stocks were depleted when ROB came up against them, making it an easy kill for the big man. However, he now comes up against the Power’s Scott Lycett, who has been in some incredible form of his own. Expect these two giants to nullify each other’s impact and score well under their last 3 game average.
Points of difference
Saturday – Jarrod Witts $14.5m
There’s a lot of ruckman talk in this weekend’s preview, but that’s because they’ve never been more important, especially in DFS. Jarrod Witts is one that we’ll really look to target in the Saturday slate. He comes up against the Tigers who have conceded the second most points to opposition rucks this season. Further, we’re expecting rain to impact this AFL fixture on the Gold Coast, which will lead to even more stoppages for the big man to dominate.
Sunday – Jasper Pittard $11.0m
This is a bit of an interesting pick that will definitely prove to be a point of difference. Pittard has had a reasonable year at Arden Street after coming across from the Power during free agency in the off-season. He’s averaging 77 fantasy points per game and has scored 85+ on five occasions. He also gets the really favourable match-up versus St Kilda, who have given up the second most points to opposition defenders this season. We believe Pittard can produce one his 90ish scores in a soft match-up on Sunday and prove to be a great value play.
Now you’ve got a couple of players to build around it’s time to join a contest and lock in your lineups!