AFL Picks: Port Adelaide v. Western Bulldogs

AFL picks round 13

The big winners of last week were most certainly Port Adelaide, who catapulted themselves into relevancy with a dominating performance over the premiers, who were admittedly Dustin Martin-less. The Power still deserve the credit for their performance, even without the Brownlow medallist that was still a game they traditionally lose. They spearhead Round 13 with a match against the Bulldogs, who have a disgraceful record against the top sides and, despite having relevant fantasy players, are a truly irrelevant football team.

As previous mentioned, Port Adelaide produced what could be a season defining win last week, overpowering a Richmond team that were hellbent on proving they can win without Dusty. The most pleasing sign for Power fans was the growing continuity between it’s stars, which had been an issue following the recruitment of high-profile players including Steven Motlop, Tom Rockliff and Jack Watts. The Bulldogs are coming off the bye, but have been obliterated against the big teams this year and this one should follow suit.

Gun: Justin Westhoff ($15.1m)

Interestingly the Western Bulldogs have three players with a higher average than any Power player. Unfortunately that has not translated to their team being any good, so in the likelihood they are throttled I am going for the mismatch of Justin Westhoff. The defender/forward was unstoppable in the first quarter against Richmond where he looked like he was on his way for a score of 150+, but some missed shots at goal, a few clangers and a Richmond comeback stopped that from happening. This week Westhoff should see similar time spent up front and without the Tigers’ star-studded backline to contend with. I can see plenty of contested marks inside 50 and another 3+ goals.

Dud: Luke Dahlhaus ($13m)

Little Luke Dahlhaus, like a few of his high profile teammates, has gone from being one of the best plays in fantasy football to being one of the most frustrating and unreliable. At $13m I would be looking for more than the massive swings in his scores that has seen him drop below 70 as often as he’s pushed 100. I can’t see him getting the touches or the looks at goal to warrant that much of your kitty.

Point of Difference: Sam Powell-Pepper ($11.4m)

Last year’s rookie sensation is slowly earning back the trust of his teammates after offseason controversy saw him out of the team for the early stages of the season. He has slotted back into the team and it is no coincidence they look significantly stronger going forward, with the physical freak providing a dynamic and at times unguardable link-up between the midfield and forwards. He is taking the ball and driving it inside 50 at will and the scores are following. The 80 average is on the increase, especially after last week’s 93, and if he can add a goal or two to his normal output he will surpass triple figures. This is a good week to get on the bandwagon.

Check back soon for picks and analysis for the rest of this weekend’s AFL action. In the meantime, be sure to get your lineups in. Good luck!

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