AFL Picks: Round 11

afl picks round 11

Another Saturday in the AFL, another fantastic five-game slate to look forward to! Saturday in Round 11 is headlined by a great clash between the Cats and Swans from 4.35pm before another intriguing clash between the Lions and Hawks later in the evening.

Sunday offers another couple of great games including the annual Shanghai match, this year played between the Saints and Power.

There are some great daily fantasy tournaments on offer at PlayON over the weekend for the Round 11 slate. Keep an eye in the lobby for details of those contests. We have our best daily fantasy tips for the both Saturday and Sunday below.

Guns for hire

Saturday – Josh Kelly ($15.4m)

Have to take someone from the Giants as the gun for hire as they come up against the Suns this Saturday. The Giants are the second highest scoring team in the competition with 1668 fantasy points per game while the Gold Coast Suns allow the third most points in the league at almost 1660 per game. Josh Kelly has been on an absolute tear since returning from injury in Round 8. Over the last three weeks, he has racked up scores of 154, 131 and 135 and has bumped his season average up to an impressive 114, which is good for the 5th best average in the league.

The star midfielder has dominated the Suns in the past as well. His last five games against Gold Coast have seen him average 112.8 points including a monster 166 point outing in his last outing in Round 12 last year. He racked up 40 touches, 8 marks, 7 tackles and 2 goals that day.

Sunday – Patrick Cripps ($16.4m)

Cripps was held to just 45 points by star tagger Matt de Boer as the Blues went down by 93 points to the Giants in Round 9. However, the star midfielder and Brownlow Medal favourite bounced back against another tough tag in Jack Steele on the weekend. Cripps had 28 touches in the 13 point loss and scored 88 points, just his third score under 100 this season.

Cripps should have a much easier time of it this Sunday against the Bombers, who rarely run with a full time tagger. He had 115 fantasy points when the two teams faced off in the pre-season this year and with a 105 point average throughout 10 games this year, Cripps is a must have in the midfield on Sunday.

Duds to avoid

Saturday – Joel Selwood ($12.6m)

By no fault of his own, the stalwart Cats skipper has taken more of a back seat in the Geelong midfield this season due to the continued emergence of young superstars in the likes of Tim Kelly and Mitch Duncan. There’s no doubt that Selwood still has infinite value on the ground as both a hard ball winner and a leader, however, his fantasy numbers have been wavering lately due to extended time out on the wing and on the half forward line.

2018 saw him rack up at least 25 touches in 16 of his 23 games but in 2019, he has accomplished that feat just three times in seven games. His last three fantasy scores read 79, 75 and 76. His days as a premium fantasy midfielder are likely over.

Sunday – Seb Ross ($14.5m)

The Saints midfielder had a brief stint from rounds 4-6 where he averaged 110 points per game and looked like he was going to improve on the stellar fantasy season he had last year, however, it’s been downhill for Ross since then. His last four outings have garnered scores of 86, 94, 71 and 85 and although he still racks up decent disposal numbers, the marks and tackles required to push you over the 100 point mark have been missing.

Ross scored just 77 points against the Power in Round 16 last season, one of his lowest scores for the year and could be burdened with the Sam Powell-Pepper run with role once again in Shanghai on Sunday.

Points of difference

Saturday – Tim Taranto ($15.5m)

Hard to imagine the second highest scorer in AFL fantasy this year as being a good point of difference, however, it feels as though Tim Taranto is still the forgotten man in the GWS midfield at times. People love opting for the trio of Stephen Coniglio, Josh Kelly and Lachie Whitfield and at times even put Jacob Hopper ahead of Taranto.

Taranto has averaged a monster 115 points per game this season, which is behind only Whitfield, Brodie Grundy and Andrew Gaff in per game performance and is coming off two monster weekends of 150 and 130 against the Blues and Demons respectively. Had 97 points against the Suns last season which, when adjusted for inflation, equates to around 120 with the departure of Dylan Shiel from the Giants midfield this year.

Sunday – Justin Westhoff ($12.3m)

Westhoff was touted to be one of the more popular fantasy players in the competition this season, especially in Supercoach and AFL Fantasy because of his dual position capability. After a strong start to the season which included two scores over 100 in his first three games, Westhoff came off the boil with five straight games under 100.

He bounced back on the weekend with a 90 point performance in the 31 point loss to the Hawks and has a great matchup against the Saints this weekend. Has scored over 90 points in six of his last seven games against the Saints including 19 possession, 2 goal, 111 point outing last year.

 

That’s all for our Round 11 Preview. We’ll see you back here next week – but first we hope to see you at the top of PlayON’s Leaderboards. Head to the Lobby now to pick your teams and play for a share of guaranteed cash prizes.

Good luck!

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