Premier League Picks and Preview: Gameweek 37

Daily Fantasy Premier League

There are just two weeks to go in the EPL season. The title might have been wrapped up, but plenty of teams are fighting for positions at either end of the ladder. For round 37, PlayON have plenty of daily and round contests to keep you going. There’s also a £5,000 SuperContest coming in the final round next week, so look out for this week’s contests that give you qualifying entries into the final round game.

I’ve gone through the weekend’s games and picked out my Guns, Value Players and POD picks from a DFS perspective.

Brighton v Man United

There are separate DFS games for this fixture on account of the earlier start, but still a lot to like – mainly for United as I don’t see Brighton offering too much in this.

Gun

Of the three highest priced players, Lukaku ($14.8m) will likely miss out through injury and Sanchez ($15.1m) hasn’t been in the greatest of form so Paul Pogba ($13m) becomes the choice here, with three goals and an assist in his last four games.

Value Pick

Smalling has popped up with goals from the back recently. If he bags another here, his value is higher than his $9m price tag.

POD Pick

Most will jump on De Gea ($8.9m) as keeper in anticipation of a clean sheet. The likelihood is United pepper the Seagulls goal and with Mat Ryan priced the same, the potential for some decent save points could be a winner.

Stoke v Crystal Palace

Stoke’s last three have been draws, but their problem is converting those to wins. Palace are unbeaten in their last four, a run that has seen them move safe from relegation chat.

Gun

Wilf Zaha ($13.4m) – four goals and two assists in his last five and a midfield designation while playing more forward. What’s not to love? Zaha has the highest average of any player in this game and will continue to be the main man for Palace’s good run of form.

Value Pick

Patrick van Aanholt ($7.7.m) – the young Dutchman loves to get forward and was on the scoresheet last week. Extra attacking stats onto defensive duties always add value.

POD Pick

Xherdan Shaqiri (10.7m) – a quiet couple of weeks mean he may be off a few people’s radars. He’s the main man for the Potters however and will be involved if they are to get anything from the game, which they’ll have to if they want to stay in this league.

Bournemouth v Swansea

Form is shocking for both sides, with two draws each and no wins from their respective last five games. Of the previous five meetings, Swansea have never won.

Gun

Bournemouth striker Josh King ($11.4m) has seven goals and four assists this season and an average score of over 1100. I wouldn’t have him in an all of round team, but if playing this game alone, he’s the first name on my team sheet.

Value Pick

Another one who’s a single game only pick, Ryan Fraser ($9.2m) is one of only two players in this one averaging over 1000 while priced under $10m.

POD Pick

Jordan Ayew has a similar return and averages 250 more than King but is priced a lot less at $8.3m. That said, with the Swans the away side, playing him is a big gamble.

Leicester v West Ham

The two sides who were spanked last round meet in this one and will be looking to gain back some respect.

Gun

He hasn’t scored in his last two, but Jamie Vardy ($14.8M) has 17 for the season and a DFS average of over 1200. Lock him in!

Value Pick

At the bargain price of $7.7m, Vicente Iborra is in the top ten average of players across all nine games in the round. The Spaniard is not EPL-fantasy relevant, but benefits from the additional points in DFS for defensive stats.

POD Pick

A few goals and assists earlier in the season, but nothing recently for Harry Maguire ($6.4m). Is this the week he gets back among the attacking stats?

Watford v Newcastle

After a great 2018, Newcastle come into this on the back of consecutive 1-0 losses. Watford are without a win in the last five.

Guns

Not really any premium guns in this game with the drop off of Richarlison in the second half of the season, but Jonjo Shelvey is the closest I see with the ability to pick a pass a strike a ball when he wants to. He’s handily priced at $7.7m as well.

Value Pick

Magpies forward Ayoze Perez’s recent form (three goals and two assists in his last five) suggests he is underpriced at his current $6.7m tag.

POD Pick

When the Hornets won the reverse fixture, Will Hughes ($8.1m) was on the scoresheet. Injuries hampered his progress in the middle fixtures, but he’s starting to get a few minutes behind him now.

West Brom v Tottenham

Both sides are in good form and fighting for different things – the visitors for top four, the home side for survival.

Gun

Harry Kane’s efforts to steal goals after the fact has no impact here, as the points and prizes are awarded prior to any appeals or changes. That means gun status in this game sits with Christian Eriksen, who has scored 11 and assisted ten this season while Kane has only two assists to go with the 26 goals. The Dane’s all round game means he’s ranked top four for average overall, but you do pay out the nose for the privilege at $17.1m. Worth it? Possibly.

Value Pick

When you look at average score to value, Serge Aurier ($7.9m) represents most bang for your buck, no doubt helped by his propensity to bomb on and the two goals and assists he’s nabbed along the way. The biggest worry is rotation between him and Kieran Trippier. However, since round 30, Pochettino has rotated the two each game and following the pattern would suggest this is Aurier’s turn.

POD Pick

Despite backing the Spurs win, the POD pick comes from the home side. Matt Phillips ($8.2m) has had a relatively quiet season, with only two goals and three assists, but grabbed the winner last week. Is he one who can benefit from the Baggies playing with a bit more confidence under Darren Moore? He won’t be in many teams that’s for sure.

Everton v Southampton

A win and a draw in the last two has sparked hopes of a Saints survival coup while going unbeaten in the last four mean the Toffees could sneak a European spot.

Gun

In a very poor season for the Saints, Dusan Tadic ($11m) has been one of their better players. The fact that I’m saying this about someone with six goals and three assists probably sums up the season for the visitors. Tadic does come into this in form though, with three in three. With Austin and Gabbiadini’s minutes all over the place, he’s the only Saint you could pick with any semblance of confidence.

Not keen on Southampton? Have at Theo Walcott ($8.9m) who’s produced a goal and assist in the last two outings and averages over 1000.

Value Pick

Since Big Sam has allowed him to play, January signing Cenk Tosun has prospered. He’s getting good minutes and has scored five, including one last week. He’s also average 1300+ points a game, which is well above his $9.2m value (for perspective, Rondon, Mkhitaryan and Wood are on similar averages and priced over $10m, as is Arnautovic at $13.1m!).

POD Pick

You might not have heard of him, but 22 year-old Jan Bednarek ($5.8m) has played the last three for the Saints, scoring one and keeping a clean sheet. That sees his average points sit second for all of the away sides players behind only Tadic. It’s a small sample for form, but he’s gone OK so far and could fly under a lot of radars.

Man City v Huddersfield

City still flying towards the 100-point mark, two wins and a draw from the last three will see them get there and a win here will see them break the record points tally for the Premier League. Huddersfield have just a win and draw from their last five and likely won’t offer too much resistance against the home side

Gun

Many people questioned the £44m transfer of Raheem Sterling ($15.6m) to City, especially after his average start. This season though he’s been a revelation – 18 goals, 17 assists and an average return of over 1800 points in DFS. Only Mo Salah has averaged better this season. A must-have for me.

Value Pick

Given what gets you points in DFS, it’s no surprise that less than half the keepers are averaging 900 points or more. Of the starting keepers who are, nobody is priced lower than Ederson at $7.3m. The Brazilian has managed 15 clean sheets and 55 saves so far and is a good shout of another clean sheet at home to the struggling Terriers. If you don’t have $9.1m to splash on Jack Butland’s near-1300 average, this is your man.

POD Pick

When Kyle Walker came off injured last week, he was replaced by Danilo. In his first season at City, his appearances have been scattered, but he could snag a starting spot this week with a couple of defensive outs. If he does, he will have licence to attack in a winnable home game and at $6.4m is a steal that many might not have.

Arsenal v Burnley

Wenger’s last home game in charge and the Gunners will be looking to see him off with a bang against the side one place below then in the table.

Gun

In the last few weeks, Wenger has started to play Aubameyang ($14.9m) and Lacazette ($15.3m) together. With a combined seven goals and two assists in the last five, it’s fair to say it’s worked. There’s not much between the players in terms of price or average (both around 1650). It’s doubtful that you can fit both in your budget without sacrificing other positions, so might come down to a coin flip.

Value Pick

Ashley Barnes has scored nine all season, and six of those have come in his last nine games. That kind of second half surge means he’s valued lower than his 1385 average at just $8.7m. It might be risky backing him to produce at the Emirates, but if the Clarets are to sneak a goal, he could well be the one too score it.

POD Pick

With the big name forwards to pick from, there’s a high chance Granit Xhaka ($9.8m) goes untouched by a lot of players. Two assists in two however show he’s still an integral part of the Gunners midfield.

Chelsea v Liverpool

Fresh from reaching the Champions League final, Liverpool travel to Stamford Bridge to look to keep themselves in the top four and Chelsea out of it.

Gun

Great players on both sides, but Mo Salah ($17.8m) is something else. The only player across the games average over 2000 and a goal-scoring machine this season. Another here sees him beat the Premier League record for most in a 38-gaqme season. Unlike Kane, the Egyptian has also provided plenty of assists as well, 11 to be exact. For me, and probably most, this guy is first picked.

Value Pick

Anyone who averages over 1100 and costs just $5.6m is a shoo-in right? That player is Alberto Moreno, who after missing a large chunk of the season has played back-to-back 90 minutes. The only concern for me is picking defenders in a game that could go either way. But at that price, surely it’s worth the gamble.

POD Pick

In what could be a hard fought and even game, I’m backing a lot of midfield tackles and therefore looking at N’Golo Kanté ($10.7m). Another defensive midfielder who will benefit from points for defensive stats, but might be overlooked by EPL-fantasy players, where the lack of defensive points makes him irrelevant.

Good luck!

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