Daily Fantasy NBA Preview – 24th November, 2018

Welcome to the 2018-19 NBA season!

To help you with your DFS lineups at PlayON, we’ll provide daily editions of our NBA Preview all season long here at Daily Fantasy Focus.

Your NBA fantasy teams have a budget of $100 million to spend on a seven-player team, with players ranging in price from $26 million to $5 million. You must pick one player from each of the five NBA positions – point guard, shooting guard, small forward, power forward and centre – with two final picks being at whichever position you like. With the need to squeeze in that much under budget, we need to look for the best value picks in each night’s game, at all positions.

Below is a breakdown of my picks for each position for tonight’s seven-game slate. Once you’ve seen who I like, be sure to lock in your line-ups and win some cash tonight


Point guard – Jrue Holiday, New Orleans Pelicans: $19.4 million

Holiday continues to play excellently back at the point guard spot. In the absence of Elfrid Payton, he is the only Pelicans backcourt player who can regularly penetrate the defence and create off the dribble, as well as also being a lead defender. And that impact is coming through from a fantasy point, too; Holiday has not recorded less than 40 fantasy points in a game in the whole of November.

 

Point guard – Quinn Cook, Golden State Warriors: $8.9 million

Still given the primary point guard shooting role and minutes eater, Cook has averaged 24.5 in the past ten games. His price really should have cracked double figures by now, for that is sufficiently long of a stretch of games to not be a fluke. But since it hasn’t, consider him here.

 

Point guard – Tomas Satoransky, Washington Wizards: $6.5 million

The Wizards’ really really obvious needs for better ball distribution, off-ball movement and unselfishness have been somewhat addressed by giving an increased role to Satoransky. Over the last five games, he has averaged 23.1 fantasy points per contest, and it should continue. That is not to say that it will, because the Wizards are in such flux, but the production supports why it should.

 

Shooting guard – Zach LaVine, Chicago Bulls: $15.6 million

LaVine’s price has slowly increased to match his strong start to the season, but the Bulls still need him now as much as ever, if not more so. He has responded with a 41.3 fantasy point average over the last two, and as the Bulls’ best if not only option for creating a shot from the back court, his volume will stay high for a while.

 

Shooting guard – David Nwaba, Cleveland Cavaliers: $6.0 million

Small forward – Cedi Osman, Cleveland Cavaliers: $7.7 million

The makeshift Cavaliers have, rightly, settled on these two as their starting swingman pairing, giving a limited role to Kyle Korver and no role at all to J.R. Smith. Nwaba cannot shoot and handles little, but his transition game, athleticism, rebounding and committed defence have returned a fantasy point average of 21.2 per game over his last five, while Osman has recorded a 27.8 average in his four games since returning from injury. Osman was a regular pick in this space before the injury, too, so it is no fluke.

 

Small forward – Kevin Durant, Golden State Warriors: $21.1 million

Although the Warriors lost four games in a row before last night’s win over the Blazers, Durant’s personal production is benefitting from Steph Curry’s absence in a way that his team overall definitely have not. Playing full time point forward as well as lead rebounder, Durant has averaged 55.5 over the last three games.

 

Small forward – Justin Holiday, Chicago Bulls: $10.4 million

Power forward – Jabari Parker, Chicago Bulls: $11.8 million

In missing so many senior players, and in having no one at point guard who can create their own shot, the Bulls are having to rely on volume scorers. LaVine above is one, yet these two, who form the starting forward duo right now, are also pouring in the minutes, points and fantasy value. Parker has recorded a 45.1 fantasy point average over the last two, despite not making a shot in the first half of his last game, while Holiday put in a giant 53.6 fantasy point performance last night that has raised his four game average to 32.0.

 

Power forward – Jeff Green, Washington Wizards: $8.6 million

Thomas Bryant is starting at centre with Dwight Howard out, but Jeff Green is the more productive player. Over the last eight games, he has recorded a fantasy point average of 25.4 per game, and while we must not forget that Green has had a career full of intermittent streakiness, the value is certainly there for now.

 

Centre – Tristan Thompson, Cleveland Cavaliers: $11.8 million

Thompson has been consistently good of late, averaging 32.9 fantasy points per game over his last eleven contests. There are some match-ups in which he might not the best bet – that is to say, other post players, generally, and other elite rebounders. Tonight, he will be up against Clint Capela, a strong rebounder himself. But Capela won’t bump bodies in the post, so Thompson should have another good night.

 

Centre – Aron Baynes, Boston Celtics: $7.8 million

Baynes’s candidacy is here conditional on the status of Al Horford. Horford has a long standing knee issue that does not necessarily prevent him from playing, but which the Celtics are seemingly giving him precautionary rest for early in the season, so as to not have it be a problem later on. Rested in last night’s game, Baynes started in his stead and put in 33.8 fantasy points. It is not at this moment clear if Horford is to be rested again tonight, but if he is, consider Baynes.

My team:

Point guard – Jrue Holiday, $19.4 million
Shooting guard – Zach LaVine, $15.6 million
Small forward – Kevin Durant, $21.1 million
Power forward – Jerami Grant, $9.2 million
Centre – Tristan Thompson, $11.8 million

Bench – Klay Thompson, $13.9 million
Bench – Cedi Osman, $7.7 million


On any NBA slate of games, we need to be sure to avoid certain players each night. Here’s who you should steer clear of.

(Note that the NBA provides four different player injury classifications – ‘probable’ (meaning the player has a 75% chance of playing in the game), ‘questionable’ (50%), ‘doubtful’ (25%) and ‘out’ (0%). Such classifications are subject to change right up until game time; for the purposes of the below, we list anyone from ‘questionable’ on down as being picks to avoid.)

DO NOT PICK DUE TO INJURY/ABSENCE/SUSPENSION: Jabari Bird, Al Horford (Boston), Chandler Hutchison, Denzel Valentine, Kris Dunn, Bobby Portis, Lauri Markkanen (Chicago), J.R. Smith, Sam Dekker, George Hill, Kevin Love (Cleveland), Wes Matthews, Dwight Powell, Dirk Nowitzki (Dallas), Gary Harris, Isaiah Thomas, Michael Porter Jr, Jarred Vanderbilt, Will Barton (Denver), DeMarcus Cousins, Alfonzo McKinnie, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green (Golden State), Nene, Brandon Knight, Carmelo Anthony (Houston), D.J. Wilson, Donte DiVincenzo, John Henson (Milwaukee), Jerryd Bayless (Minnesota), Elfrid Payton (New Orleans), Hamadou Diallo, Terrence Ferguson, Alex Abrines, Andre Roberson (Oklahoma City), Kosta Koufos, Ben McLemore (Sacramento), Dejounte Murray, Lonnie Walker IV, Pau Gasol (San Antonio), Dwight Howard (Washington)


That’s all for today’s analysis. Be sure to get your line-ups in, and check back every day during the season for our daily picks and advice!

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