NBA Preview 30th November

NEW YORK, NY - NOVEMBER 15: Donovan Mitchell #45 of the Utah Jazz goes to the basket against the New York Knicks on November 15, 2017 at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2017 NBAE (Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images)

Tonight is the last night to qualify for our NBA SuperGame. Read our expert Mark Deeks before picking your line up tonight. 

 

Point guard – Eric Bledsoe, Milwaukee Bucks: $18.9 million

It took Bledsoe a few games to settle in with his new team before hitting full stride. In fact, he shot 40% or worse from the field in his first five Bucks games. Happily, those troubles now appear to be behind him.  

Over the last four, Bledsoe has averaged 20.8 points on exactly 50% shooting. He’s also added 4.0 rebounds, 5.3 assists and an impressive 3.2 steals per game.

This averages out to a 42.2 point fantasy average over that span. Clearly, it was a struggle initially for Bledsoe to fit into the Giannis-centric, otherwise-static Bucks offence. Now he has we should see him continue his solid performance. The past week has been peak Bledsoe, driving with reckless abandon and shooting plenty. If it holds, he has good fantasy value.

 

Shooting guard – Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot, Philadelphia 76ers: $6.5 million

Since Justin Anderson’s injury, the 76ers have played a three-wing player rotation for much of the season.

Behind starters J.J. Redick and Robert Covington, Luwawu-Cabarrot is the only used wing reserve. Even when healthy, Nik Stauskas has been getting no run.

Luwawu-Cabarrot does little other than score, mostly via an inconsistent three-point shot, which he has hit at only 31.7%.

Nonetheless, he is getting enough shots and minutes to give him some low-end fantasy value, with six double figure outings in his last seven games. If you are looking for a deep sleeper, he might be it.

 

Shooting guard – Donovan Mitchell, Utah Jazz: $14.3 million

The massive variance with which Mitchell announced himself on the fantasy scene has given way to some welcome consistency as the rookie develops.

Over the last seven games, Mitchell has recorded between 24.3 and 39.8 fantasy points, a relatively narrow variance.

He has already become very important to his Jazz team offensively, and will not be marginalised when the injured players around him return.

 

Shooting guard – Lou Williams, L.A. Clippers: $16.5 million

Just as the Clippers had begun to turn it around with a three-game winning streak, Blake Griffin hurt his knee in the last minute of their last game and will miss the next two months. In his absence, someone will have to score.

Career reserve Williams is now a starter in light of Patrick Beverley and Milos Teodosic’s injuries, and his 18.6 points per game average is a career high in his thirteenth season.

His 4.0 assists per game is only 0.2 off another career high, too, and with 42.6 and 50.3 fantasy points in his last two games he’s become great value. Williams knows what needs to be done, and will get up as many shots as is possible. This should makes him underpriced now Griffin is out.

 

Small forward – Juancho Hernangomez, Denver Nuggets: $6.3 million

Over the last five games – the only five in which he has received significant minutes – Hernangomez has recorded 7.4 points and 5.3 rebounds per game, and got the start last time out in the absence of Wilson Chandler.

This works out to a 16.2 fantasy point average; not huge, certainly, but no other near-minimum-priced fantasy small forward is doing it. Especially since Chandler is out again tonight.

 

Small forward – Sam Dekker, L.A. Clippers: $6.3 million

Power forward – Montrezl Harrell, L.A. Clippers: $7.0 million

Clippers head coach Doc Rivers has stated that, in the absence of Blake Griffin, no one player will be assigned the regular starting power forward spot. Still, these two figure to be the most obvious beneficiaries.

Harrell already plays a little bit. He’s an energetic athlete, rebounder and dunker who would already have merited more court time if he fitted better with DeAndre Jordan.

Dekker, albeit a natural small forward, may be the better fit. The former Wisconsin Badger is a driving, shooting face-up forward who can do a decent impression of a cheap Danilo Gallinari until the real Gallinari returns next month.

Taking either is a risk until we see the new rotation, but they are cheap risks with plenty of logic behind them.

 

Power forward – Derrick Favors, Utah Jazz: $14.8 million

We have picked Favors a couple of times recently due to his massive improvements since moving to centre, and his last game was his best one yet.

With 24 points, 9 rebounds, 5 assists and 3 blocks, Favors posted a 53.3 fantasy point night, raising his average over the last five to 38.9.

While he’s the eighth most expensive power forward on the slate tonight, he has been the second most productive behind only Ben Simmons. This makes him one you should definitely consider.

 

Centre – John Collins, Atlanta Hawks: $12.5 million

Collins was going to make this list anyway. He’s been a fantasy steal all year, and was barely slowed by a move from backup centre to starting power forward over the last three games.

With the news that regular starting centre Dewayne Dedmon will miss three to six weeks with a leg injury, he now becomes one of the best value options in the game.

Collins is now the only capable centre on the roster, and will start there in Dedmon’s absence.

He’s still not a consistent pick-and-pop threat – although there are signs for the future in this area – and should benefit from playing once again as the free-roaming, rolling athletic big man.

Expect to see him throwing down big dunks and crashing the offensive glass in a four-out offence. The price has continued to go up, but not by enough to change my mind.

 

Centre – DeAndre Jordan, L.A. Clippers: $18.7 million

Given he isn’t someone who can create his own offence through heavy touches, Jordan will not offset the scoring loss caused by Griffin’s injury.

Jordan has none of the perimeter skills that Griffin has developed over his career, and is extremely limited at that end. However, Griffin’s injury leaves Jordan as the sole star on the roster. If the Clippers are to stay afloat, he will need to do even more of what he already does well.

His minutes will likely spike, and with it, so will his already decent fantasy value. If a few more touches should be forthcoming, even better.

DO NOT PICK DUE TO INJURY/ABSENCE/SUSPENSION: Mike Muscala, Dewayne Dedmon (Atlanta), Gordon Hayward (Boston), Nikola Mirotic, Zach LaVine, Cameron Payne (Chicago), Derrick Rose, Tristan Thompson, Iman Shumpert, Isaiah Thomas (Cleveland), Wilson Chandler, Mason Plumlee, Paul Millsap (Denver), Milos Teodosic, Danilo Gallinari, Blake Griffin, Patrick Beverley (L.A. Clippers), Jabari Parker, Mirza Teletovic, Matthew Dellavedova (Milwaukee), Markelle Fultz, Justin Anderson, T.J. McConnell (Philadelphia), Wade Baldwin, C.J. Wilcox (Portland), Joe Johnson, Dante Exum, Rudy Gobert, Rodney Hood, Raul Neto (Utah)

Our Last Super Qualifier is tonight. If you want to win a VIP trip to an NBA game in Mexico, and NBA Store credit, play now!

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