Daily Fantasy NFL Preview: Week 11

daily fantasy nfl picks week 11

Last week, I had a bit of a spiel about Dez Bryant being a member of the Saints. Then just like that, he wasn’t. In two days, he went from a huge signing to a torn achilles and season gone. It’s a cruel game this one and you can almost understand why Le’Veon Bell has officially opted out of this season and the Pittsburgh Steelers. Almost, if we weren’t all NFL fantasy fans that is. But it does mean that James Conner should keep on ticking along as he has been.

As for everyone else, take a look at the PlayON Daily Fantasy Week 11 picks below.

PlayON PICK OF THE WEEK

Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints ($16.1M)

As an Eagles fan, I’m very much not looking forward to what this guy is going to do to them in week 11. His past two games have been completely ridiculous. He had 12 catches, 211 yards and a touchdown against the Rams in week 9, then followed that up catching all eight targets against the Bengals in week 10 for 70 yards and two scores.

If that’s not enough, the Eagles have been torched for 266 yards per game throughout 2018 and have just lost their best defensive corner, Ronald Darby, to a torn ACL. I usually like to give you a great value option in this section, but Thomas might be the best value on the slate this week, even with the high price tag.

QUARTERBACK

Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles ($12.4M)

Stacking Thomas with Drew Brees might be the best move to make this week considering what I just mentioned, but I’m looking at the other starting QB in the same game. The Eagles as a whole have been struggling but Wentz has still been putting up good numbers as he heads into a matchup with that leaky Saints defense.

As a team, they allowed just 14 points last week, but it was to a Bengals side missing “The Phenomenal” A.J. Green. The Eagles have the offensive tools to keep pace with a high-octane offense like the Saints with Alshon Jeffrey, Golden Tate, Nelson Agholor and Zach Ertz. And the fact is, the Eagles will need to throw a lot in order to compete here. He could be in for a big day at a cost price.

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans ($12.1M)

Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans are fresh of their week 10 bye and come back into a tough matchup with the Washington Redskins. The game has one of the lowest projected points totals of the week but a team with Watson, Lamar Miller, DeAndre Hopkins and Demaryius Thomas can be lethal and almost impossible to stop on their day.

The Redskins, despite being relatively stingy this season on points, still allow 270 pass yards a game. That number has even been blown out of the water by their past two opponents. The Falcons had 337 yards on them in week 9 and last week, the Bucs hung 398 yards on them, and they only scored three points. Watson is averaging over 200 yards from the three game leading into the bye against great defenses including the Broncos and Jaguars, and he threw eight touchdowns with no interceptions. This Washington matchup doesn’t scare me.

Also Consider:

Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans ($10.2M) vs. Colts, Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys ($10.7M) vs. Falcons

RUNNING BACK

David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals ($13.5M)

Arizona made some coaching adjustments, brought Byron Leftwich in as the offensive coordinator and just like that, David Johnson is an RB1 again. It’s amazing how using your stud running back can garner positive results. He finished the day against Kansas City with 183 all purpose yards and two scores. That’s the David Johnson we all fell in love with.

And it doesn’t stop there. The Raiders are next up. They’re allowing 141 rushing yards a game and that number has increased to 159 yards over the past three weeks. Everything suggests to me that a repeat performance is on the cards and it may be your last chance to get him at a reduced price. If he keeps playing this way, his price will skyrocket in no time.

Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions ($7.2M)

The Lions made a strange move prior to the trade deadline by dealing Golden Tate to the Eagles, and his absence left them without a slot man. However, third string running back Theo Riddick has stepped up to fill the void. Over the past two games, he’s commanded 15 targets, catching 13 of them for 96 yards.

The Panthers have had some trouble containing the slot man lately. In the past three weeks, Willie Snead had 54 yards, Adam Humphries had 82 yards and two scores, and Ryan Switzer had 31 yards. Riddick has been on the field for 56 per cent of the offensive plays in the past two weeks and this might increase if Marvin Jones Jr, who has a questionable listing, does indeed miss the game.

Also Consider:

Jalen Richard, Oakland Raiders ($8.2M) vs. Cardinals, Alex Collins, Baltimore Ravens ($8.8M) vs. Bengals

WIDE RECEIVER

Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers ($13.1M)

I’m a Keenan Allen fan and am very high on him this week. He is a guy who just goes about his business and business is good. He has at least five targets in every game this year, and is averaging over eight. He’s Philip Rivers favourite target and rarely lets his man down.

But he’s only found the endzone twice this season; once in week 1 and then again last week. It might just be a figment of my imagination, but it seems as though Allen builds as the year progresses. In the last two games, since the bye, Allen has been targeted 19 times, had 12 receptions and 181 yards. And while the Broncos are a good defensive side, they have let Sammy Watkins (8-107-2) and DeAndre Hopkins (10-105-1) have big afternoons on them. Keenan Allen makes three.

Amari Cooper, Dallas Cowboys ($9.5M)

Amari Cooper came into Dallas with the whole Cowboy Nation’s expectations on his shoulders and he’s stepped up in a big way. He’s the number one (and only) receiving option that Dak has at his disposal. The QB has thrown his way 18 times, pulling in 11 of them for 133 yards and a score.

To put into context, in six games he play with Oakland before the trade, he averaged 47 yards, he had 5.1 targets a game and he scored once. It’s a huge improvement in just two games with his new team. And the Falcons are a bad defense. The allow 294 yards through the air every week, the third most in the NFL.

Also Consider:

Corey Davis, Tennessee Titans ($10M) vs. Colts, Kenny Golladay, Detroit Lions ($10.5M) vs. Panthers

TIGHT END

Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles ($13M)

Ertz is the number one option at tight end on the Sunday slate this week. Far and away. He’s quickly becoming a superstar in the NFL. Despite the loss to the Cowboys, Ertz went off with 14 catches for 145 yards and two touchdowns. That’s great numbers for any positional player; for a tight end, it’s outstanding.
The Saints poor passing defense that I often speak of, is actually pretty effective against tight ends. The last three guys to face them have had 39, 48 and 23 yards respectively, with zero touchdowns. Counter argument: Zach Ertz is no ordinary man. He’s virtually match up proof. Yes, he’s expensive, but he’s very worth it.

Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins ($7.7M)

So I just spoke about Zach Ertz, Travis Kelce plays on Monday Night Football, and Rob Gronkowski is on the bye. There’s a big drop off to the rest of the class from there. But it’s my job to find you someone else with value or a good matchup and I think I have done that in Jordan Reed. He’s not the same tight end with Alex Smith than he was with Kirk Cousins, but on his day, and in those rare moments when he is fully healthy, Reed is one of the best tight ends the NFL has to offer.

Reed is seeing at least four targets making a safe play but his upside is huge. The Denver Broncos starting tight end and man I’ve listed below, Jeff Heuerman, had ten catches, 83 yards and a touchdown. And Reed still hasn’t seen the endzone since week 1. Surely he’s due.

Also Consider:

Jeff Heuerman, Denver Broncos ($6.3M) vs. Chargers, Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons ($8M) vs. Cowboys

DEFENCE/SPECIAL TEAMS

Arizona Cardinals ($6.1M)

Stacking the Cardinals defense with DJ is a bit of a risky play. They haven’t been the best defensive team of the year. They are the 20th ranked team for total yards allowed per game (363) and 18th in points allowed per game (25).

But they did manage to sack Patrick Mahomes five times and held the league’s highest scoring offense to 26 points. But the Raiders aren’t the same team and it’s a matchup that suits the Cardinals. Arizona have 12 total takeaways and the Raiders have 13 giveaways. It’s a relatively high-risk play, but one that could pay off handsomely.

Carolina Panthers ($6.5M)

The Panthers have been on fire as a defense lately. I mean, excluding the 51 points that the Steelers hung on them last Thursday night. Wow. What a collapse. But leading into that game, Carolina had four interceptions and a fumble recovery against the Bucs and Ravens.

They can score and score big. Which is good news, because the Detroit Lions have a bad offensive line. Either that or Matt Stafford has offended all of them because they let him get hit a lot. In the last two games, Stafford has been sacked 16 times. The Bears got him six times and the Vikings sacked the QB a whopping 10 times. Yes, 10. Not a typo. That’s insane. And when that sort of pressure is occurring, mistakes happen. And when mistakes happen, fantasy points happen.

Also Consider:

Los Angeles Chargers ($6.6M) vs. Broncos, Baltimore Ravens ($7M) vs. Bengals

PlayON PASS OF THE WEEK

Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals ($13.1M)

Tyler Boyd is one of my favourite young wide receivers, but he finds himself in a tough situation this week against division rivals, the Baltimore Ravens. They actually boast one of the league’s best defensive units, ranking #2 in total yards allowed per game and #3 in pass yards allowed per game.

Another factor is that Boyd disappeared last week against the Saints. I was excited to see how he would go as the Bengals #1 option, but with that tag comes the top coverage option and Boyd finished the day with just four targets, catching three for 65 yards. No touchdowns (although they got beat 51-14). From the small sample size, it appears that Boyd needs A.J. Green active to be productive. While AJG is out, and against this defense, I’d be avoiding.

 

That’s all for this weekend’s picks. Now be sure to get your lineups in and win a share of guaranteed cash prizes playing daily fantasy NFL at PlayON.

Good luck!

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