I called last week as being the running back value week of the season, but it was the top guys that did all the damage in week 14. Ezekiel Elliott went nuts for 113 rushing yards and 79 pass yards. Joe Mixon had 111 yards and a score. And Saquon Barkley destroyed the Redskins with 170 ground yards plus a touchdown. And the craziest thing, all of that paled in comparison to Derrick Henry’s day out. Henry had one of the all-time performances, rumbling his way to 238 yards and 4 touchdowns, capped off by a 99 yard run where he essentially stiff-armed the entire Jags defense.
Hopefully we can find some PlayON Daily Fantasy picks that have as much success this week.
PlayON PICK OF THE WEEK
Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings ($12M)
We saw what happened a week ago in Green Bay with the coaching change, and the Browns have been kicking butt since forcibly removing Hue Jackson, so it stands to reason that the Vikings might be able to expect an upswing in production after ousting offensive coordinator John DeFilippo. DeFilippo won the Superbowl with the Eagles last year, but never fit in with Minnesota and their big recruit, Kirk Cousins. But he’s now gone, and I think the Vikes will break out for at least a week.
Zimmer wants more focus on the run game so Cook should be getting fed over the next few games. Cook especially should benefit. He’s starting to find form again following his early season injuries and last year’s ACL injury, but he’s still averaged just 10 carries over the last five weeks. That number should jump up against the Miami Dolphins who are allowing 139.5 rush yards per game, good for 29th in the NFL.
Tom Brady, New England Patriots ($12.5M)
I haven’t featured a lot of Tom Brady in this article throughout the year, but his upcoming game against the Steelers presents a golden opportunity for the Pats main man to continue his big run of form. Over his last two games, Brady has an average of 335 pass yards and two touchdowns against the Vikings and Dolphins.
His opponents have allowed two passing touchdowns each in the past three games, whilst averaging a bit over 250 yards per game. These teams have a solid history of high coring games against each other which is reflected in the over/under being set at 54 yards.
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills ($11.1M)
Over the last few weeks I’ve featured Lamar Jackson, a young quarterback who been getting the job done on the ground as well as through the air. Well, not to be outdone, Josh Allen just set an NFL record for rush yards by a quarterback over a three game stretch. He’s had 335 with two touchdowns, going for at least 99 yards in each of the three games.
His passing still requires a bit of work and he still plays for the Bills, but he’ll provide a safe floor thanks to his ability to scramble and get himself out of trouble. Adding to my intrigue is his matchup against the visiting Detroit Lions. The Lions actually rank a respectable 11th in pass yards allowed per game, but consider that most of the time the opponent is up early and gets to run the ball and you see why. Detroit has also allowed 25 pass touchdowns this season, and just six interceptions. Allen in a nice point of difference.
Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams ($12.8M) vs. Eagles, Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks ($12.7M) vs. 49ers
Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals ($12.9M)
Joe had a bit of a quiet afternoon last week, but got a late touchdown to make it respectable. Think is, the whole Cincinnati team had a quiet afternoon last week, but I’m hoping they can be a bit better against the Raiders. I had some nice stats all laid out for you in the Jaylen Samuels bit last week, and they haven’t changed much since.
Oakland rank 31st in yards allowed per game with 145. They’ve given up 12 touchdowns to the position too and RB1’s continue to tear them apart on a weekly basis. Mixon comes in pretty cheap for what we know he’s capable of and for what the Raiders let in.
Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons ($8.4M)
I had to play Tevin Coleman in a fantasy playoff game last week due to the James Conner injury. Needless to say, it did not go well. Lately, the man just isn’t seeing the ball as much as he should be, not getting over 11 touches since week 10.
But all that’s done is lower his price just in time to play a team that gives up stats to running backs. The Cards are ranked equal 29th this year in yards allowed per game and they’ve let in 18 rushing scores, more than anyone else in the league. This is the week where you pay me back Coleman.
Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans ($9.9M) vs. Giants, David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals ($13.4M) vs. Falcons
Brandin Cooks, Los Angeles Rams ($13.3M)
They say too many Cooks can spoil the broth, but you can’t have enough of them this week. Let me throw a stat line at you real quick. 10 catches, 217 yards, three touchdowns. That’s what Amari Cooper had against the Philadelphia Eagles a week ago. The same Eagles that the LA Rams take on in primetime on Sunday night. It’s a great matchup to target.
And Cook is a very similar player to Cooper. He’s got speed to break away from opposing cornerback, strong hands to secure the ball and is a great route runner. Not that he needs any of that against the Eagles. Their secondary is Cooked. Yeh, I went there. And he’s might have more motivation for a big day considering he got knocked out of the Superbowl last season. So, grab all the Cooks you can this week. I’ve even got a soft spot for Jared Cook at tight end.
Amari Cooper, Dallas Cowboys ($13.8M)
Speaking of Cooper, the man has certainly paid off for the Dallas Cowboys. In his first six games of the season with Oakland, he had 22 catches, 280 yards and one score. In the six games since the move, Amari has got back to doing what Amari does. He’s exploded for 40 catches, 642 yards and six touchdowns. It’s incredible what a gun wide receiver can do when he’s used properly. Raiders fan must be having seller’s remorse watching Coop and Khalil Mack do their thing every week.
The Colts have been a surprise team this year, but still allow 257.9 yards a game. With Zeke roaming the backfield and drawing the attention of opposing defenders, Amari should continue to wreak havoc on the outside.
Dante Pettis, San Francisco 49ers ($8.2M) vs. Seahawks, Seth Roberts, Oakland Raiders ($6.9M) vs. Bengals
George Kittle, San Francisco ($12.2M)
So all of a sudden, Kittle is the best tight end in the NFL. This is a strange game at times. His price is a bit on the high side, but with Kelce already having had played and Zach Ertz now without his TE loving quarterback, it might be worthwhile shelling up for a guy who just had seven receptions, 210 yards and a touchdown on the Broncos.
Then two weeks ago, he played these same Seattle Seahawks. In an absolute Seattle route (43-16) Kittle still put on 70 yards on six catches. He’s the in-form man right now in San Fran and it’s hard to see Nick Mullen going away from his big guy.
Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($7.3M)
The other guy I like (read: like, not love), is Cameron Brate. Twice in this article I’ve gone on about how great Baltimore are and to steer clear of Winston (coming up) but there’s every likelihood that the Bucs will be throwing the ball a lot and that makes Brate a decent option.
He’s not a guy who’s going to get you a lot of catches or yards, averaging just over two and under 30 respectively from his past five outings, but he does have three scores in that time as well and that’s where you make your money on Brate. When they’re down in the redzone, Winston looks for his big targets.
Jared Cook, Oakland Raiders ($10.3M) vs. Bengals, Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons ($8M) vs. Cardinals
Jacksonville Jaguars ($6.8M)
Last year’s top defense is really struggling in 2018, but fortunately for them the Redskins are in just as much trouble at the moment. Since having a Native American blessing, the Washington franchise has had four straight losses and two quarterbacks have broken their legs.
Even though the Jags have been poor as a whole, the defense is still the 6th stingiest team in the NFL, largely in part to their 2nd best passing defense. They’re also top seven in points allowed and with this matchup running in their favor, I’m very eager to take a punt that they’ll be dominant once more.
Baltimore Ravens ($6.8M)
Just like I mention in the Pass of the Week bit below, Jameis Winston is a bit turnover prone and the Ravens are one of the best NFL defenses of the year. On top of their amazing pass defense stats (which I go into below), they rank 4th in rush yards allowed with 87.8 a week and have let in just nine ground scores all year.
They are not high turnover team, surprisingly taking the ball away from their opponents just 10 times, making them the 2nd worst team in that area. And Winston’s turnovers have been cleaned up a bit in the last three games. But he does have them in him and especially in losing scenarios when he has to pass the ball a lot.
Minnesota Vikings ($7M) vs. Dolphins, Seattle Seahawks ($6.8M) vs. 49ers
PlayON PASS OF THE WEEK
Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($12.2M)
Winston is a good player and has been doing well since re-regaining the starting job in Tampa. But the Baltimore Ravens are not a fun matchup for quarterbacks. The allow just 206 yards per game (ranked 3rd in the league), 6.2 yards per attempt (1st), 58.8% of passes completed (1st), an 84.3 passer rating (4th) and have let in just 18 passing touchdowns (5th).
They just kept Patrick Mahomes somewhat in check. He had two touchdowns and a pick last week, and he threw 377 yards but it took him 53 attempts to do so. Baltimore don’t have a lot of turnovers, taking just six interceptions all year, but Winston does. He’s thrown 12 this year already. In games where Tampa has lost, he’s got 10 picks and 10 scores. If you see the Ravens taking this one out, it’s best to avoid Winston.
That’s all for this weekend’s picks. Now be sure to get your lineups in and win a share of guaranteed cash prizes playing daily fantasy NFL at PlayON.